Monday, November 30, 2009

The Chin(a) music - moving from Death-metal to Classical

China - This name has different connotations to different people
An Indian (who anyways has 5 opnions about any country) might think this about China
- A factory which is synonymous with the word "cheap"
- An imbecile who does not have a good memory either about history or geography
- A smoking hummer which has overtaken India by actually building its own expressway
- An incredible opportunity to make money
- A neighbour with a gym in his house, always seen flexing his muscles but never
with a smile

Obama, has it easier. He has only two views but is confused whether to engage or enrage it.

To most African countries, China is the Big-Brother (read 'USA') they never had

Tto the 'civilized' European Union, its the 'Thakur' of Bollywood, who makes money while those within suffer.

Australia cant stop eulogizing and glorifying it

And both the North and South Poles cant stop thanking it for aiding it with more of the solar energy it badly needs

Latin American has only an inkling of what it is and so has 'no-comments-please' while Canada and the UK dutifuly follows the path of Big-Bro (again read 'USA' and not as 'China')

Anyways the point of this blog is exactly the opposite of the feeling most get hearing the word 'China'.

China, according to the Elliott waves and Socionomics (a forecasting tool and a study of behaviour of man and markets, pardon my definition Mr Prechter) has been in a downward spiral since 2008 but when the next wave on the upside arrives, China would enter into a powerful orbit, which I feel would help it overtake the USA quicker than what many think.

Socially, China would be a more livable place (with... who knows even a democratic setup). After the current wave of border tensions with its neighbours is resolved (ofcourse no one knows how brutal the resolution could be) it would assume deep peace within. The recent emission control promise would become a reality and life in China would be "LIFE".

But for all this to happen, a painful cataclysm of sorts is in the offing. After all its not easy for a fast moving dragon to simply change orbit, without trampling a few.

Friday, November 27, 2009

DOOB (gaya) BHAI !... Hooray!!!

Jan 2007 was the last post here and this is Nov 2009. Seems like a generation has passed since I last confronted myself on Meta Space. So many people around me remember 'those' days with a hint of despondency. Those were the days when everything glittered and every place aspired to be 'Doob-Bhai'.

With cracks evident in 'Doob-Bhai', it seems we are in for another tectonic shift, much like '9/11'. Isnt it amazing that we are seeing far more 'historic' events in this century (with a frequency matching the gyrations of a Govinda song) than what has been witnessed in the last century? If there was a Volatility Index to measure these events, where do you think the barometer would have reached for this century?

Speaking of 'Doob-Bhai', I get a sense that people want it to fail under its weight. After all its a human behaviour to take pleasure in seeing a flamboyant and fast moving mammoth crumble down due to gravity. The spectacular rise of a city in such a short time (10 years is just a blip) was a cause of envy for cities which have been ploughing their way to greatness. And as it has been with Human Beings, 'Doob-Bhai''s own siblings were the ones most green with envy.

'Ab-boo-dabbi' couldnt have asked for a better situation. The richer sibling, with more than enough oil for every strand of hair in the Solar System, has often been relegated to a side-kick to 'Doob-bhai'. Now, its 'Ab-boo-dabbi''s chance to strike twice with one arrow.

By claiming to the world that it has offered a life-line to 'Doob-bhai' it gains political mileage. At the same time, it can get some control of 'Doob-bhai''s resources (emirates, nakheel, the brand 'Doob-bhai' etc.) Ofcourse, with some clever band of lawyers and financial hobnobs it can avoid giving away the entire life-line (who would care how much 'Doob-bhai' gets in the end after a few years)

So, with a few billion dollars, or even less (out of its reserves of Hundreds) 'Ab-boo-dabbi' can ascend to the throne of West Asia. With it, comes political strength, financial might and finally relief to the royal folks that 'Ab-boo-dabbi' is not just a black dabbi lying unseen on the carrom board of Middle east but the much coveted Red King .